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BEWARE THE MATHEMAGICIANS

8/22


So as I perused the interwebs today this headline caught my eye: “CDC Figures Show Just How Few Over-50s Have Had COVID Vaccine Boosters”. The article is what you’d expect; GET YOUR BOOSTER OR DIE!!


In fact the very capable and also knowledgeable author of this piece who just “reports” what the CDC says but never does any research of his own tells us (my bold) “That's despite the fact that unvaccinated U.S. adults aged 50 or older were 14 times more at risk of dying from COVID than those who had two or more booster shots as of June, according to another new CDC dataset…Uptake of the second booster dose, which is currently only recommended to adults aged 50…is even lower, with 33.2 percent of people aged 50 and older getting their second dose as of August 17.” “14 times more” sounds familiar; we’ll get to that in a moment. First, what’s this “two or more” business? Who the hell is getting more of these things? Oh, yes, that’s right – the “severely compromised” could have a fifth by now. The fact that this vaccine is clearly doing damage to the immune system doesn’t matter a bit to those pimping it; just keep selling! But don’t worry, we’ll all be “eligible” for the new Omicron booster which is based (again) on a strain which is already extinct, come fall.

Second, notice the “currently only recommended to adults aged 50”. We’ll revisit that too.


So the “14 times more” struck me as something I’ve heard before and lo and behold, a little Googling showed this headline for November of 2021: “Unvaccinated 14 Times More Likely to Die From COVID” and I thought, “My, what a coincidence.” It turns out back in November, Rochelle Walensky was telling us “Unvaccinated people are about six times more likely to test positive than vaccinated people, nine times more likely to be hospitalized, and 14 times more likely to die from COVID-related complications” This information coming to the fore just as "...vaccine booster shots for all adults were authorized last week” So that seemed a bit coincidental. Back in November just as the booster became “available” (and not a second too soon it seems) we’re reminded of the dangers of not being vaxxed – 14 times more danger it turns out. Be afraid…and get your booster. Now we hear (extraordinarily) the SAME danger! 14 times greater risk of death – this time in the very group (50 or older) who are “eligible” for the second booster but don’t seem to be listening to their overlord experts. By the way, they’ve said out loud they’re pushing you to get boosted now so in three months you’ll be “eligible” for the new and improved Omicron-based booster, so there’s that. Of course, the fact that the booster is based off a now extinct variant is of no concern, it’ll definitely work. DEFINITELY.


Anyway, the November report is based on the Delta variant long before Omicron showed up and this new one obviously is based on Omicron. What are the chances that two different variants from two different time periods with two different levels of vaccination would show the very same risk ratio against first (Nov) just two shots and now against three shots? Remarkable coincidence.


But wait, there’s more. There was a report out in February of this year stating “Boosted Americans 97 Times Less Likely to Die of COVID-19” In this story we’re told “Americans who have received a COVID-19 booster shot are 97 times less likely to die from the coronavirus than those who aren’t vaccinated, according to a new update from the CDC…In addition, fully vaccinated Americans – meaning those with up to two doses, but no booster -- are 14 times less likely to die from COVID-19 than unvaccinated people.” Somebody at the CDC really likes the number 14. Interestingly, these reports always seem to come “from 25 jurisdictions”. Can you say “cherry-picking the data”?


Now to be fair, here is the data as presented on the CDC’s “COVID Data Tracker”




Well that certainly looks like “14 times more”; case closed, get your boosters. But this is where the mathemagicians come in. As I have mentioned many times before, you need to be aware of the scale being used. In this case, as of June 26, 2022, the “rate” of death for the double-boosted is 0.4 per 100,000 people, whereas the rate for the completely unvaxxed is 6.7 per 100,000. That means the unvaxxed stand a whopping 17 times greater risk of death; that would be the headline. EGAD! But again as I have said many times, 17 times nothing is still nothing. Take a look.


An unvaxxed death rate of 6.7 per 100,000 means a risk that if you are an unvaxxed American wandering the streets of Anytown, USA your chances of dying from COVID are about 0.0067% or sixty-seven ten-thousandths of one percent. If you are fully vaxxed and doubly-boosted, your risk is 0.0004% or four ten-thousandths of one percent. That means the difference between the fully vaxxed/doubly-boosted and the completely unvaxxed stands at 0.0063% or sixty-three ten-thousandths of one percent. That is the amount of “protection” you have purchased for yourself with four shots; sixty-three ten-thousandths of one percent. That is a mathematical fact, sorry true-believers. By the way, those differences have been essentially the same from the very beginning of the vaccine rollout; sorry again. The actual incidence of death is so small that any multiplier of it is still tiny. If you are afraid of a sixty-seven ten-thousandths of one percent chance of dying, you might want to rethink your priorities. For instance, if you use the data in the piece cited above “Boosted Americans 97 Times Less Likely to Die of COVID-19” you come up with an actual difference; an on-the-ground real life “protection” of 0.009%. That’s nine one-thousandths of one percent. They’ve been misrepresenting to us both the real danger of dying from the virus and the real benefit of the vaccine the entire time. Please keep this in mind when you believe you “know” how “protective” your vaccines are. And this of course does not calculate in the damage done by said vaccines. For almost everyone in the world, the unknowable risks outweigh the tiny benefits. Look at this data out of the Netherlands:





As time goes on, more and more data will show just how "safe" these vaccines are. Watching the “experts” twist that calculus around will be fun.

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